CQ Roll Call June 19, 2013 | Register

The Deficit Comes Down to Health Care

Ezra Klein highlights a new report from the Congressional Budget Office and points out that the bulk of the recent and future growth in federal spending comes from just one sector: health care.

“Spending on Social Security is expected to rise, but not particularly quickly. Spending on everything else is actually falling… Private health spending is racing upwards even faster than public health spending, so the problem the federal government is showing in its budget projections is mirrored on the budgets of every family and business that purchases health insurance… So we need to get health-care costs down. But because we can only do that so quickly, we’re also going to need to get taxes up.”

  • drzaius

    Public option.

  • sunspot

    Speaking strictly as a mathematician, the increase in health care costs cannot continue. I don’t mean a moral judgement here, just that a continuation of the trend will eventually (in a few decades) consume all of the available budget just for health care costs alone. So, it won’t continue. The two most likely outcomes are, either that costs will stop rising at a rate faster than inflation, or that the system will collapse. If nothing much is done to effectively reduce the rate of growth of costs, then a collapse is inevitable. As a wise man recently said, it’s just arithmetic.

    p.s. There is a 3rd option: only very wealthy people will be able to afford it. But there may not be enough of them to support the medical establishment, so a collapse of the system remains likelier.

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