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March 31, 2015

US Could Add 36 Million New Immigrations After Reform

Brad Plumer uses the Congressional Budget Office’s latest projections and Census Bureau data to calculate that if the Senate Gang of Eight’s immigration reform bill becomes law, “the United States would be adding somewhere around 36 million new immigrants over the next two decades — a figure comparable to the population of Canada.”

“The U.S. population of illegal immigrants in 2018 would shrink from roughly 14 million to about 5.5 million. Most of this drop would be due to the fact that 7.7 million unauthorized residents would receive amnesty and become newly legalized. But tighter border security would also reduce inflows somewhat.”

“The number of additional legal residents in the country goes up an extra 12.7 million in 2018, then to 18.5 million in 2023, and then to 24.1 million in 2033. (Again, this is over and above the legal immigration that was already expected.)”

  • easton

    This is making a lot of assumptions based on past behavior however going forward as more and more opportunities open up in other countries and with smaller family sizes being the norm in Latin America and Asia I don’t think the numbers will be that high, especially if job growth continues to stagnate with most of the profits going to the top.

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